Phillips 66 (PSX)
Market price: $272.99
5 valuation methods
- P / B: $250.22 to $336.36 (midpoint $291.14)
- EV / Gross Profit: $251.57 to $387.75 (midpoint $319.91)
- EV / EBITDA: $236.81 to $409.49 (midpoint $321.66)
- EV / Revenue: $437.37 to $1,014.37 (midpoint $621.30)
- P / E: $505.39 to $697.06 (midpoint $648.18)
How each method works
P / B: $250.22 to $336.36 (midpoint $291.14)
Values the stock at a peer multiple of its book (net asset) value — most meaningful for asset-heavy and financial companies whose balance sheet drives value.
- How it’s calculated
- We take book value per share (total assets minus total liabilities, from the latest balance sheet, divided by shares outstanding) and multiply it by the range of price-to-book multiples the peer group trades at.
- Why it fits this industry
- Where the balance sheet is the business — lenders, insurers, asset-heavy operators — the price the market pays for a dollar of net assets is a natural yardstick.
- Reading this bar
- The bar is the per-share value range this method implies: a conservative low, a central estimate, and an optimistic high. If the current price sits below the bar, the market is pricing the shares below what this method's inputs suggest; if it sits above, the market is pricing them higher. No single bar is a verdict — methods disagree for good reasons, so read the whole field together. Asset-light companies (brands, software) legitimately trade far above book value, so for them a P/B bar well below the price is usually structure, not signal.
P / B = (2.84/3.31/3.82)× book_value_per_share 88.01 ≈ 250.22/291.14/336.36 (per_share)
EV / Gross Profit: $251.57 to $387.75 (midpoint $319.91)
Values the business at a peer multiple of gross profit — useful where reported operating costs vary a lot across peers but gross economics are comparable.
- How it’s calculated
- We take last-twelve-month gross profit (revenue minus the direct cost of the goods or services sold), multiply it by the peer range of EV/Gross-Profit multiples, subtract net debt and any minority interests or preferred stock ranking ahead of common shareholders, and divide by shares outstanding.
- Why it fits this industry
- Gross profit sits between revenue and operating earnings: it credits the margin a company's products earn while ignoring overhead and investment choices that legitimately differ across peers.
- Reading this bar
- The bar is the per-share value range this method implies: a conservative low, a central estimate, and an optimistic high. If the current price sits below the bar, the market is pricing the shares below what this method's inputs suggest; if it sits above, the market is pricing them higher. No single bar is a verdict — methods disagree for good reasons, so read the whole field together.
EV / Gross Profit = (4.42/5.47/6.51)× gross_profit 25,361,000,000 ≈ 111,984,695,741.90/138,642,161,086.81/165,104,336,977.14 (enterprise_value); enterprise_value -> per share: equity (98,130,695,741.90/124,788,161,086.81/151,250,336,977.14) / 390,072,362 shares [EV bridge: minus net debt 12,682,000,000, minus minority interest & preferred 1,172,000,000]
EV / EBITDA: $236.81 to $409.49 (midpoint $321.66)
Values the whole business at a peer multiple of its cash operating earnings (EBITDA) — the workhorse comparison for capital-intensive, profitable companies.
- How it’s calculated
- We take the company's cash operating earnings over the last twelve months (EBITDA — earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization) and multiply them by the range of EV/EBITDA multiples comparable companies currently trade at. That gives a value for the whole business (enterprise value); we then subtract net debt and anything owed ahead of common shareholders — minority interests in subsidiaries and preferred stock — and divide by shares outstanding to get a per-share range.
- Why it fits this industry
- Energy producers' reported profits swing with depletion charges and write-downs; cash operating earnings track the barrels-and-margins economics more closely.
- Reading this bar
- The bar is the per-share value range this method implies: a conservative low, a central estimate, and an optimistic high. If the current price sits below the bar, the market is pricing the shares below what this method's inputs suggest; if it sits above, the market is pricing them higher. No single bar is a verdict — methods disagree for good reasons, so read the whole field together. A company can also deserve a multiple above or below its peers — faster growth, stronger margins, or higher risk all justify honest gaps.
EV / EBITDA = (5.45/7.15/8.91)× ebitda 19,482,000,000 ≈ 106,227,047,507.54/139,324,365,802.94/173,584,107,284.22 (enterprise_value); enterprise_value -> per share: equity (92,373,047,507.54/125,470,365,802.94/159,730,107,284.22) / 390,072,362 shares [EV bridge: minus net debt 12,682,000,000, minus minority interest & preferred 1,172,000,000]
EV / Revenue: $437.37 to $1,014.37 (midpoint $621.30)
Values the whole business at a peer multiple of sales — used when earnings are thin, volatile, or not yet meaningful, so revenue is the most reliable yardstick.
- How it’s calculated
- We multiply the company's last-twelve-month revenue by the range of EV/Revenue multiples its peer group trades at, subtract net debt and any minority interests or preferred stock ranking ahead of common shareholders, and divide by shares outstanding for a per-share range.
- Why it fits this industry
- When profits are thin, volatile, or still to come, revenue is the most dependable figure a company reports — this method values the business on the scale of what it actually sells.
- Reading this bar
- The bar is the per-share value range this method implies: a conservative low, a central estimate, and an optimistic high. If the current price sits below the bar, the market is pricing the shares below what this method's inputs suggest; if it sits above, the market is pricing them higher. No single bar is a verdict — methods disagree for good reasons, so read the whole field together. A pound of revenue is worth more at a high margin than a low one, so the peer group here is narrowed to companies earning a similar margin wherever enough of them exist. Where too few do, the bar falls back to the wider group and is the bluntest of the multiples — weigh it alongside the earnings-based bars.
EV / Revenue = (1.10/1.52/2.43)× revenue 168,192,000,000 ≈ 184,458,717,867.86/256,207,408,929.09/409,532,677,571.19 (enterprise_value); enterprise_value -> per share: equity (170,604,717,867.86/242,353,408,929.09/395,678,677,571.19) / 390,072,362 shares [EV bridge: minus net debt 12,682,000,000, minus minority interest & preferred 1,172,000,000]
P / E: $505.39 to $697.06 (midpoint $648.18)
Values the stock at a peer multiple of its earnings per share — the most familiar gauge for steadily profitable companies.
- How it’s calculated
- We take the company's net earnings per share over the last twelve months and multiply them by the range of price-to-earnings (P/E) multiples its peers trade at.
- Why it fits this industry
- For steadily profitable companies, earnings are the bottom line an owner is entitled to — P/E is the most familiar way to ask what the market pays for a dollar of profit.
- Reading this bar
- The bar is the per-share value range this method implies: a conservative low, a central estimate, and an optimistic high. If the current price sits below the bar, the market is pricing the shares below what this method's inputs suggest; if it sits above, the market is pricing them higher. No single bar is a verdict — methods disagree for good reasons, so read the whole field together. One unusually strong or weak year can swing a P/E — the inputs panel shows the earnings the bar is built on.
P / E = (15.68/20.10/21.62)× eps 32.24 ≈ 505.39/648.18/697.06 (per_share)
2 methods not shown
- DCF (FCFF): DCF input(s) unavailable (capex) — cannot build FCFF
- EV / EBITDAX: this company reports no oil and gas exploration activity (a refiner, pipeline or services business), so EBITDAX — which exists to compare explorers — does not apply